Silver is a better hedge than gold
Gold has been touted as the historical hedge against an inflated currency. Today, investors are scrambling for gold to protect their assets against a credit crunch, recession and possible stagflation. As gold nears $1000 an ounce it is time to consider how to invest in precious metals and just which metal is best for a dollar hedge.
Gold is the universal currency. Before 1971, US Dollars were legally backed by gold reserves (legally, certainly not entirely). Today most currencies, with the exception of the Swiss Franc, are fiat; their value coming from the faith in the governments that issue the currency. Before Bretton Woods in 1944 and the global shift from gold to dollars, gold was used as a way for governments to balance deficits at years end.
Gold is still considered a hedge to rampant inflation and recession. Gold’s value is intrinsic, the value of one ounce of gold does not change, the value of currency changes relative to gold. At least that is the view of most economists.
While gold may provide a nice hedge to a falling currency, silver is a much better investment than gold. Silver is used in thousands of products and has a heavy demand stemming from its use in traditional photography. The demand for silver is up dramatically in the last few years, without government and institutional sales there would actually have been a silver deficit last year.
Silver also benefits from a lower per ounce price. While gold costs $990 per ounce, the price of silver sits at just about $20 per ounce. The sticker shock of gold prices is likely to occur in the $1000+ ounce area while silver has much room to gain before sticker shock sets in. Sticker shock is likely to keep gold prices from ever hitting new territory while silver has room to tack on extreme percentage gains before the same price shock sets in.
Silver’s main advantage might come from the futures market. Short sellers on silver are all over the place and some analysts think that the amount of shorts is greater than the world supply of silver. As short sellers start buying to cover their positions, the explosion in silver prices will likely follow. Too many positions have to be covered and by only one method- purchasing silver on the open market.
The greater demand, smaller price and the market dynamics of silver make it a far superior investment than that of gold.
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